September 29th, 2010
by deaconcat08

In addition to my miserable performance with my 10 weekly picks against the spread last Saturday, I didn’t do too hot in picking potential upsets either.  Not a single one of the seven underdogs I offered were able to pull out a victory, and my double-digit longshot got manhandled by a vastly superior opponent.  Still, to be fair, there weren’t many upsets to be picked last week, with the exception of the big wins by NC State and UCLA that no one envisioned.  These are ordered from smallest underdog to largest, and the value in each parentheses represents the number of points by which each team is currently an underdog according to the World Sports Exchange.

Western Michigan (+2.0) vs. Idaho- See my analysis for this game in my picks of the week entry below.

Kentucky (+2.5) at Ole Miss- The Rebels burned me last week with a big win over Fresno State.  However, one good game isn’t going to change my feelings that this is the worst team in the SEC and is capable of losing to anyone.  Any squad that gets beat by 14 to Vandy at home may very well go winless in conference play.

Clemson (+3.0) vs. Miami- See my analysis for this game in my picks of the week entry below.

Texas A & M (+3.0) at Oklahoma State- This is the great mystery game of the week, as we got a Thursday night battle here between two untested unbeatens.  Both squads have shown signs of promise, but both have also looked downright horrible at times against vastly inferior opponents.  I really have no idea how this thing is going to come out on Thursday, and it should be a very close contest throughout.  However, in my preseason preview guide, I predicted Texas A & M to finish well ahead of OSU in the Big 12 South, so I’m going to stick with my guns and call for the upset here. 

NC State (+3.5) vs. Virginia Tech- The Wolfpack are playing with lots of confidence right now, as they seriously believe they have what it takes to win the conference this year.  Virginia Tech did look quite impressive last week at BC, but this will be the Hokies first real road test of the season, and who knows how their young defense will react.  If that unit doesn’t play up to potential, then Russell Wilson will have a field day at Carter-Finley on Saturday.

UL-Lafayette (+4.0) at North Texas- The Ragin’ Cajuns looked surprisingly bad against a shorthanded MTSU squad last week, and North Texas looked surprisingly good in an upset over Florida Atlantic.  Still, in light of their abysmal play over the past five or so years, anytime North Texas is favored to win a college football game a red flag should go up warning of a potential upset.

Longshot of the Week: Indiana (+10.5) vs. Michigan- Finding a double-digit underdog capable of winning this week is about as difficult as finding a way to beat Alabama or Boise State right now.  Still, I have to give you something, so here it is.  The Hoosiers gave the Wolverines a major scare in Ann Arbor last year, and come into this year’s game full of confidence riding  a 3-0 record.  On the other hand, Michigan has looked really good at times, but has also experienced major defensive breakdowns against inferior teams like UMass.  We also aren’t entirely sure as to the status of Denard Robinson who got hurt in last week’s game against Bowling Green.  I don’t think Indiana has a good shot of pulling the upset here, but you never know.

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One Response to “Brad’s Week 5 Upsets to Watch Out For”

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