January 2, 2009
What a great season looks like
I was leafing through Elliot Kalb's book, Who's Better, Who's Best in Basketball. It purports to rank the 100 greatest basketball players of all time.
It looks like a rather weak effort. It seems to be rife with subjective opinion and moving standards. If I want that, I'll turn on NBA Fastbreak.
An example is Kalb ranks Shaquille O'Neal the number one player of all-time but, having read the Shaq chapter, I couldn't tell you why. As far as I can surmise, Kalb contends Shaq is the best because in Kalb's mind he's better than everyone else. Purely circular argument.
In fact, you cannot objectively argue that Shaq's impact was better than any of the other 4 Kalb ranks in his top 5.
Click Here for a Win Profile of the best seasons of 5 all-time greats
Wilt has to be considered most valuable
Amongst Kalb's top 5: Shaq, Wilt Chamberlain, Michael Jordan, Bill Russell, and Kareem Abdul-Jabbar, I think Wilt has to be the most valuable player. He was simply further above his contemporary competition than the rest, and therefore was able to make a more positive win contribution to his teams. As for who's the "best" player, that's purely speculative.
As you can see from my chart, Wilt's 1966-67 season easily eclipses anything produced by the other 5. He was simply awesome, on par with Babe Ruth in 1927. (Kareem's best season, you will notice, was in a Milwaukee Bucks uniform.)
As for Michael Jordan, he had a consistently great career, but he simply was not as far above his competition as Wilt Chamberlain was above his, and therefore he was not as valuable to the Bulls in any one season as Chamberlain was to the Sixers in 66-67. You can argue he had greater intrinsic value to his team, I suppose. I can't really argue that point either way.
I was surprised to discover what a poor offensive player Bill Russell was. But he buttered his bread on defense and on the boards, and he did that for many seasons. Shows what you can do even if you cannot score.
Discussion
5 Comments on "What a great season looks like"
#2
Posted by Paul, January 3, 2009 11:54 PM
Hey Ty,
Thought you might be interested that Hollinger's new power rankings have the Bucks ranked at #5!
#3
Posted by TCW in reply to comment from badgerbucco, January 4, 2009 5:55 AM
I'll explain how I figured the numbers, as well as all the assumptions I made to get numbers that don't exist, in a different post. Its kind of a long explanation.
Its all centered around the "Win Score" compilation of statistics put up by the player, over and above the "Win Score" defensive statistics given up by the team, distributed to each player according to the production averages at each position.
Again, it takes a bit of explanation, and I will provide it in a different post.
#4
Posted by TCW in reply to comment from Paul, January 4, 2009 5:57 AM
Thanks for the tip, Paul... he ranks them 5th!!! How does he get them all the way up to 5th?
This I have to see!
#5
Posted by badgerbucco, January 4, 2009 6:48 PM
But pace adjustment is critical to this analysis, so you need to mention whether you took that into account in your post. I understand the Win Score metric but it is not pace-adjusted, itself. If you haven't included a pace-adjustment or some proxy therefore, you will be overvaluing Wilt and Kareem, since the game was generally played at a much faster pace back then.



















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