WinStats Boxscore: Bucks 129, Golden State 125

by tcw1 on November 15, 2009

A loose performance

Brandon Jennings ridiculous second half scoring spree, combined with a nice effort by Luc Moute and Charlie Bell, saved the Milwaukee Bucks from an embarrassing home loss to a bottom tier opponent.  Here is the WinStats Boxscore for the game.  It purports to distribute responsibility for the win amongst the Bucks participants.
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The Bucks defensive performance was awful, simply awful.  Mikki Moore went 6 for 6?  Never.  And the heretofore struggling Stephen Curry thought he was back playing against second rate NCAA competition.  The Bucks got sucked into the Golden State style... at home no less... and almost payed for their lack of discipline.
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By PVOA, the game marked the Bucks best offensive performance of the year (+17.4) and the team's worst defensive performance by far and away (-21.9).  In fact it was the team's first below average defensive performance of the season.  Coming into the game their Defensive PVOA average was 6.8 points above average.  Going out it stands at 2.7 points above average.
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Bucks Projected Record

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Playing such a tight game at home against a weak Golden State downgraded the Bucks projected final record to 41.1 wins and 40.9 losses.
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Coolstandings.com's current projected Bucks record is nearly identical at 40.9 wins and 41.1 losses.  They now make the Bucks playoff chances 62.5%.
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More analysis to follow...
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