June 29, 2009

The Highs and the Lows

OK so just breathe a little.  First we get swept by the hated Angels who then went on to lose to the Dodgers.  Then we sweep the Rangers to balance out the karma of the universe in Giantsland.  Then we go into Oakland and take two of three from a team already struggling.  Finally, we march into Milwaukee and lose in heartbreaking fashion, followed by an uplifting performance by Ryan Sadowski in his first ever major league start.  Now today we watch as the offense explodes for 10 runs while Tim Lincecum throws a two-hit shutout.

Put simply, the Giants are bipolar.  We have on one hand the sad-sack losing Giants that can't score a run or work a count to if someone held a gun to their head.  On the other hand, we have the world-beating, run-scoring, shutout-throwing juggernauts with the second best record in the National League.  The sad-sack Giants are frustrating at their best, and downright heartbreaking at their worst.  World-beating Giants bring joy and rapture to the souls of fans everywhere and make us believe that they're one hitter away from a playoff berth.

Today, the world-beating Giants gave us hope for the rest of the four game set against the Cardinals, as well as for the rest of the season.  Tomorrow, with Chris Carpenter pitching, the sad-sack Giants might make an appearance and make us think that there's no way in any realm that we can contend.  So which one are we right now?

To be honest, I'm leaning towards world-beating Giants for a few reasons.  One, the pitching staff from the rotation to the bullpen is absolutely dominant.  Sergio Romo, Jeremy Affeldt and Brian Wilson nailing down the final three innings is enough to feel good about any lead in the late innings.  Two, Pablo Sandoval, Nate Schierholtz, and Travis Ishikawa are demonstrating an ability to hit major league pitching and then some.  Sandoval should be an All-Star, while Schierholtz and Ishikawa are finally coming into their own.  On top of all this, John Bowker is waiting down in Fresno while sporting a .346/.446/.602 with 14 homers and 45 walks to 47 K's.  Third, the Giants have demonstrated the ability to beat good teams (see Cardinals, Rangers, et al).

For each of these pros, there are bound to be cons that seem just as reasonable, but to be honest it feels way better to have a reason to be optimistic, however cautious this optimism may be.  The next two games we're facing Carpenter and Adam Wainwright, so this warm fuzzy feeling may be short-lived, but that still leaves us a chance to split the four game set and head home with some confidence after getting our souls crushed in Milwaukee.  

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June 25, 2009

You'd Better Watch Out (You'd Better Not Cry): The Giants Are Coming to Town

I have previously discussed why the San Francisco Giants will be an emerging force in the National League this year, and a dominant force in the Majors for a number of years to come. Thanks to the team belatedly getting its act together as far as prospect evaluations and player drafting, and its ability to carry a payroll zooming past the $80 million+ per year mark, there is an excellent chance that, starting in 2010, the San Francisco Giants will be a preeminent team in the Majors for a half dozen years.Keep in mind, this team is at a tipping point despite an unimaginable number of catastrophically bad player signings the past six years. Here's a partial list of the worst of the worst (*currently being paid):>Armando Benitez (2003, 4 years) $26 million >Edgardo Alfonzo (2005, 3 years) $21 million >Ray Durham (2 years) $14.5 million >Dave Roberts (3 years)... Read more

June 20, 2009

A Closer Look at Sandoval (Part 1)

Chris at the always enlightening Bay City Ball pointed out in his most recent post just how well our much beloved and equally rotund 3rd baseman Pablo Sandoval has hit over the course of this season and during his current hot streak.  Over the month of June alone he has managed an exceptionally productive .480 wOBA.  So how has Panda achieved his success?As Chris (with whom I fear I may actually share a brain, as I actually planned to write this article before reading his piece) also alluded to, Sandoval has never met a pitch he does not like.  In the zone, outside the zone, up, down, he doesn't really care.  His apparent indifference to the strikezone has made him one of the swingiest swingers who ever swung.   Indeed his swing percentage on pitches outside the strikezone (46.2%) is 2nd in baseball behind Bengie Molina) and his swing % in... Read more

June 17, 2009

Burriss Sent Down!!!

As per Henry Shulman  Manny Burriss was optioned to AAA today and 25 year old Matt Downs was called up.    I take full credit for this move as my prior post was the first in a multi-pronged blogosphere attack on our blighted 2nd baseman.  I know nothing about Matt Downs other than he has slightly better projections than Kevin Frandsen and cannot possibly be worse than Burriss... Read more

June 16, 2009

Anatomy of a Bad Baseball Player

I have not exactly kept my disdain for Manny Burriss a secret.  Burriss has performed awfully this season, contributing -.8 wins BELOW replacement so far (which projects to about -2 wins over 150 games). To underscore just how terrible a performance this represents, engage in the following thought exercise:  Replacing Burriss'  projected 2009 season (-2.0 wins)  with Ray Durham's 2008 effort (+2.6 wins) would produce an improvement equal to replacing 2008 Randy Winn (+4.5 wins) with the best player in baseball (Albert Pujols, + 8.9 wins).    Thus, I find Burriss' very presence on this roster irksome.  Consider me quite irked.    Perhaps my hatred, which burns with the undying fury of 1000 suns, seems somewhat hypocritical.  After all, I and many other Giants fans have clamored for internal player development since the dawn of Sabean and his obsession with the Pursuit of Gritty Veteran Veteraness.  One can argue that most young players experience an adjustment period coming into the bigs.  Struggling is a... Read more

June 14, 2009

This team ain't so bad! (Knock on Wood)

So let's recap.  The Giants are atop the wild-card standings coming off of a three-game sweep of Oakland at home.  On top of all this, we get a CG out of Matt Cain's 9th win, a long homer from Panda Sandoval, and an exciting inside-the-parker out of Nate Schierholtz.All-in-all, it's been a pretty good last week, with the Giants record right now being their best since 2004.  Now that I've put all that out there, please approach this optimism with caution.  I've been hurt by this team too much to get too excited about being in contention, especially with Sabean's pension for making scary moves at the deadline.  I want to believe we can keep winning like this; I truly do.  So I'm going to hope they show me that.For the time being though, things are going well.  We're coming off of a fantastic draft in which we got a... Read more

June 13, 2009

Timmy Lincecum is Good

Few individuals in the many epochs of recorded history  have managed to warm the cockles of a community's collective heart like Tim Lincecum affects that of Giants' fandom.  Indeed, after last night's masterful 7 hit shut out, most Giants men and women would proudly bear Lincecum's illegitimate offspring.    As Lincecum triumphantly strode from the mound at  the end of the game, the faint but beautifully haunting music of an angelic choir could be heard (Side note: A similar effect occurs every time I take off my shirt.  Believe me, it grows annoying after a while).  Lepers were cured by his serene presence, dogs and cats united in celebration of his majesty, and we Giants fans reveled in the knowledge that He is ours.  As I mentioned in my post on individual pitch values,  Lincecum has become a subtly different pitcher in 2009.   The most jarring difference has been the... Read more

June 10, 2009

The Remarkable Pablo Sandoval

Fangraphs has a nice article about Pablo Sandoval up today.   I don't have a tremendous amount to add to the article.  I will say that a middling prospect developing into a solidly above average player at age 22 is remarkable.   If he follows a normal development pattern, Pablo should have a couple allstar seasons over the course of his career.... Read more

June 9, 2009

Travis Ishikawa: A Case Study on the Importance Of Defense

I intially intended this post to lament the Giants' disasterous 2009 1st base situation.  After all, carrying not 1 but 2 offensive liabilities at 1st is much like touting abstinence to a swinger's convention (no fun, ill-advised and doomed to failure).   Ishikawa's season, however, has not been as disasterous as I anticipated.  Make no mistake, the lack of production from the right side of the infield remains one of the major cauastive factors for the Giants' offensive woes.  The blame for this situation can squarely be laid at Sabean's feet as he utterly failed to provide acceptable alternatives to Burris and Ishikawa (two players with fairly high chances of struggling). Ishikawa has been far from a good hitter this season.  He strikes out at an alarming rate (30%) and, so far,  hits for neither average (BA .261)  or power (ISO .081).  He has pretty much struggled with all facets of the offensive game and posted an appropriately awful .305 wOBA worth -2.7 runs below average.     As much as he... Read more

June 2, 2009

Randy Johnson Pitch Values

Part 5/5 of our evaluation of the Giants starting pitching is a look at the big unit which I am sure will make you SWELL with anticipation.  Johnson has proved something of a disappointment  1/3 of the way through this season.   After all, at the time of his signing, many of us hoped for a repeat of his successful 2008 campaign in which he posted a 3.76 FIP.    His FIP this season is a full run worse than last year (4.68).  That said, little evidence exists that he has lost the ability to be an above average starter as he has maintained a great K rate (9.35/G) and experienced almost no change in his velocity.  How have Johnson's individual pitches changed since 2002?  Read on to find out.   Pitch Type 2002% 2003% 2004% 2005% 2006% 2007% 2008% 2009% Fastball 54.9 55.3 45.3 56.0 56.4 51.5 51.4 48.7 Splitfinger 1.6... Read more

May 29, 2009

Draft Questions: #6 San Francisco Giants

There have been questions aplenty about who the Giants will take at the #6 slot in the upcoming June draft accompanied by cries of "high school pitchers are unpredictable!" along with heralding Stephen Strasburg as the most profound arm this side of Sid Finch.  All that aside, who will we be targeting when Bud Selig puts us on the clock?  Here are some of my favorites who might still be on the board...SS Grant Green, USCGreen projects a potential 5-tool shortstop in the ilk of Troy Tulowitzki.  Scouts say he'll stick at the position, but recently doubts have arisen about his developing power and how evident it will be at the professional level.  His home-run hitting ability has not yet reared its head at the college level, leading some scouts to believe that he'll end up a line-drive SS with 5-10 HR power.  At the same time it's difficult to ignore... Read more