Reds Minor Leagues

Breaking down Homer Bailey part 3

I want to look at Homer Bailey over his final 3 starts when he came back from the disabled list with a healthy groin. I looked at this in a 3 part series, one part for each different pitch that Bailey throws. Today I am going to look at Homer Bailey and what he did when he threw his Change Up. Yesterday I looked at the results of his Fastball and Friday I took a look at when he threw his curveball.

Over the three starts, Bailey threw 27 change ups in the three games. The change up was his pitch of choice just 10% of the time. Below is a chart breaking down the 27 change ups and the swinging results of the pitch.

Of the 27 change ups thrown, Bailey threw 13 balls (48%) and 14 strikes (including fouls and balls put in play [52%]). The change up has always been Bailey’s third pitch and one that he has struggled with more than the others. The speeds ranged from 79-86 MPH, but at least in this small sample size, speeds did not correlate with strikes or balls. The change up will likely continue to be Bailey’s third pitch, and one that he doesn’t throw very often. Hopefully he has a little more control with it as he continues to throw it more, becuase right now, it is far and away the pitch he has the least control of.

Again, a HUGE thanks go out to Josh Kalk for helping me get the information so I could break it down and make the chart. You can check out his blog http://www.baseball.bornbybits.com/blog/blog.html for some really great stuff using the MLB Enhanced Gameday Pitch f/x information.

4 Responses to “Breaking down Homer Bailey part 3”

  1. Tom says:

    October 15th, 2007 at 1:25 pm

    Doug:

    Has Bailey worked with Mario Soto on the change-up while in the minors, as has Cueto? I’ve tried to watch Bailey, but I haven’t seen him throw the change much, so I’m not sure if he throws the vaunted Soto circle-change or not.

    Now that Dusty Baker is the manager, it will be interesting to see how patience he exercises with Homer. Man, if Homer can develop a decent change, he can be dominant. I hope he’s been watching Josh Beckett in the playoffs.

  2. Doug Gray says:

    October 15th, 2007 at 1:47 pm

    From what I can recall, I don’t remember Homer working much with Soto. He didn’t throw a circle change coming into the season, and has worked with several different grips on his change up this season, applying different pressure with the grip.

  3. Enhanced Gameday analysis cataloged by date « Fast Balls says:

    November 7th, 2007 at 5:06 pm

    […] October 14, Doug Gray published “Breaking Down Homer Bailey Part 3“, an article looking at Homer Bailey’s […]

  4. Enhanced Gameday analysis cataloged by author « Fast Balls says:

    November 7th, 2007 at 5:07 pm

    […] October 14, MVN published “Breaking Down Homer Bailey Part 3“, an article looking at Homer Bailey’s […]

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