Chop-n-Change

Hardball Times Division Forecasts

Check out my Hardball Times article today that looks at how each division will shake out based on the THT player forecasts that are available in the Preseason annual. Here is how I think the NL East will shake out:

Team           Win     Loss    % Chance of winning
New York       85      77      36%
Atlanta        82      80      24%
Philadelphia   81      81      20%
Florida        80      82      17%
Washington     70      92      3%

I have the Mets taking the division with 85 games though the Braves are certainly within reach. Remember that these standing reflect talent only and once we add lady luck into the equation the spread could look much wider.

The bottom line is that the Braves have a good shot this year. The Mets’ rotation is weak and although Hampton going down doesn’t help our cause if Hudson bounces back we’ll have an okay rotation. Add in a potentially NL leading bullpen (when could you last say that about the Braves); and the most prolific offensive team on the Senior Circuit and you have a real contender.

Be in no doubt — the Braves will be in the mix.

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John Beamer

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