Fire Brand of the American League

Clay Buchholz - phillenium1979 (Flickr)

Waiting in the Wings

Clay Buchholz has shown glimpses of brilliance in his young career. His last three starts since giving up an eighth inning two run home run to Akinori Iwamura in Tampa Bay after a brilliant one hitter to that point have not been that brilliant.

Since Iwamura’s game winner, Buchholz has pitched fourteen innings (including finishing off the eighth inning in Tampa), giving up twenty-three hits, ten walks, and thirteen runs while striking out sixteen. Those numbers don’t lie, Buchholz is struggling. After giving up seven runs last night, Buchholz has seen his ERA rise to 5.53.

At this point, Buchholz is giving the Red Sox very similar production to what recently dfa’d Julian Tavarez gave the Red Sox out of the fifth hole of the rotation last season. I think it is safe to say the we all expect more out of Clay.

Young talented pitchers struggling at the Major League level is no surprise. You don’t have to look much further than the struggles of Phil Hughes (now on the DL) and Ian Kennedy (working it out in AAA) in New York to see how young pitching doesn’t often excel right out of the gate. Hughes, Kennedy, and Buchholz will all have success at the Major League level. This season, they will all be inconsistent. That is what being a young pitcher results in.

The good news for the Red Sox is that they, unlike the Yankees and their young pitchers, don’t have to rely on Clay Buchholz being a consistent presence in the rotation all year long to stay on course towards a division title in 2008.

The reason? While the Yankees will fill the spots vacated by Kennedy and Hughes with the likes of Darrell Rasner and Kei Igawa (yes, there has even been a David Wells rumor floated out there), the Red Sox have a former Cy Young winner looming in Pawtucket and a borderline Hall of Famer looking to make a late season comeback. Bartolo Colon and Curt Schilling will play important roles on this baseball team at some point this season.

While Schilling still has many hurdles to clear in his comeback attempt, all reports thus far out of the Schilling camp are optimistic that he is on or ahead of expectations in his rehabilitation. But Schilling’s penning on the story of the 2008 Red Sox won’t take place until a much later chapter.

Bartolo Colon’s impact might come to pass much sooner. Before the injury to Curt Schilling, it was expected that Clay Buchholz would likely not be in the mix as one of Boston’s starting five unless forced into a spot start here or there or as the case would turn out a major injury. The Red Sox front office was willing to stretch Buchholz further this season at the Major League level than last, but they still wanted to be careful of his growing workload, limiting him to the 150 or so innings pitched mark at most.

Given that, coupled with Buchholz’ current struggles, I fully expect Bartolo Colon to make an appearance with the Major League club before the end of May. While Colon may stretch out a little before supplanting the young Buchholz in the rotation on a regular basis, I do think that skipping a few of Clay’s starts is in the organization’s plans.

With the current constitution of the Red Sox active roster, it appears that upon Colon’s activation (assuming no injuries between now and then) that either Buchholz or Craig Hansen are the likely candidates to hop the bus down to Rhode Island. With Julian Tavarez gone, the Red Sox might opt to keep Buchholz around to get some work out of the pen in long situations, especially knowing that Colon may not be able to go deep straight out of the gate.

But should Craig Hansen show himself to be a real late inning option for the Red Sox between now and then, I wouldn’t be surprised to see Buchholz get some controlled outings in AAA to keep him fresh for the stretch run.

At the end of the day, having these types of options speak volumes to the contingency planning of Theo Epstein and the Red Sox front office.

What would you like to see the Red Sox do with Bartolo Colon? Would you have him replace anyone else in the current rotation?

Paul and I will be hitting the studios tonight to record the next installment of the podcast. If you have any questions of comments to for us to read and react to on the air, feel free to leave them in the comments here.

5 Responses to “Waiting in the Wings”

  1. Evan Brunell says:

    May 13th, 2008 at 8:39 am

    Funnily enough, Jc’s next poll deals with this very question. I’ll expound on it here: even if Buchholz was doing well, I’d send him down and skip a few of his starts to limit his innings. We have enough quality relievers at the major league level that can throw two innings (which, really, is all a long man is really supposed to try to throw) and one that can be stretched out if absolutely forced to (3+ innings, which happens so rarely, why keep someone around for it?) in Javier Lopez.

    It’s way too early to start factoring Curt Schilling into any possible plans, so I think the best course of action is to have Colon replace Buchholz from the get-go.

  2. Jrod says:

    May 13th, 2008 at 9:28 am

    You guys know what I would love to know is what impact you think John Farrell has on the pitching staff. Ive been keeping my eye on him for the past month, and it seems that EVERY time he comes out to talk to the pitcher the pitcher calms down realizes what he is doing wrong and quickly gets out of the jam without giving up any runs. I don’t know if their is a way to look up any kind of stats for that or what but its very interesting to think about.

  3. Jaredk says:

    May 13th, 2008 at 12:15 pm

    ESPN has another article up about Yu Darvish…his father who spent time in the US says he would love to see his son in New York or Boston and that he (Yu’s father) personally loves New England. The article also has a quote from a beat writer for the Nippon Ham Fighters who believes he will be posted after this year. Of course none of this (his fathers favorable impression of New England) particularly matters as he would go to the highest bidder. The only thing I am certain of is we will all likely be sick of hearing about this kid by the time he actually gets over, whether it is this year or 4 years from now.

    http://sports.espn.go.com/espn/eticket/story?page=darvish

  4. Evan Brunell says:

    May 13th, 2008 at 12:30 pm

    I read the article… I think he’ll stay 2-3 more years, then be posted. If it was after this year, I have a hard time thinking the Sox would win the posting battle… much less have a desire to be in it.

  5. Zach Hayes says:

    May 13th, 2008 at 12:48 pm

    I’d love for Wakefield to be relegated to the bullpen, but that’s a pipe dream. It’s a good idea to limit Buchholz innings so I’m in favor of sending him down for a month or so until the inevitable injury. This kid is a future #1, we need his arm for the long run.

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