Sell Targets: tell Torii goodbye
Back this week with Mark from Fantasy Baseball Hot Stove. Last week we looked at some players to target in trades. This week we look at some players worth selling high on. Torii Hunter - A lot can come with a name brand. Hunter's charisma and highlight reel catches make him a household name. That makes no difference when it comes to fantasy baseball. What it does do is help to boost his perceived value. Hunter's .306, 17 HR, 12 SB line is very front-loaded. 8 of his homeruns came in April when his flyball rate was over 50%. That rate has fallen back down to his career standards and so too has the AB/HR rate. 9 of his 12 steals came in May and his AVG has gone from .325 in April to .304 in May and .289 in June. His strikeouts also continue to rise per month. It's safe to say that the best part of Hunter's season is behind him. In the second half we'll likely be seeing a good player, but one that will be less valuable for your fantasy team. Recently traded for: David Wright, Alex Rodriguez, Dan Haren, Ichiro Suzuki, Evan Longoria. Ben Zobrist - Yeah, he looked pretty legit coming out of the gates when he moved into a full time role, but let's face it, he's not Chase Utley good. His almost 24% HR/FB rate is sure to regress a little and he strikes out over 22% of his at bats. June was a significantly cooler month for Zobrist. I do think he's capable of 10-12 homers in the second half, but the AVG may not get much over .280 or so. The biggest reason to sell on Zobrist is the proven talent you can get in return. Recently traded for: Lance Berkman, Josh Beckett, Zack Greinke, Jose Reyes, Bobby Abreu, Chad Billingsley. CC Sabathia - The ERA and WHIP look good, but look deeper and you might not like what you see. While everyone is worried about Johan Santana's recent issues, it's Sabathia's strikeouts that have been way down all season long. His 6.44 K/9 is only a little above league average and he is seeing more fly balls off the bat of opposing hitters than he has in his career. Think this will get better in the second half? It could, but there is plenty of risk involved as well. Sabathia is on course to approach 230 innings this season, which would actually be down from a consecutive three year rise in innings pitched. Take into account the way (amount of innings) he pitched late last season and into October. There would seem to be a chance he wears down in August and September of this season. Even if he doesn't wear down, the fact is that we are looking at a pitcher who's value is still largely perceived off of last season's incredible performance. Sabathia is the perfect guy to try and deal for a package of players. In...
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