Note: this post appears in full at http://atmajors.com/2010-articles/august/stretch-run-forecast.html
With two months left before the end of the season, we’re basically in stretch run territory. Or the dog days, or where Men Prove That They’re Men or whatever you want to call it. We’re coming pretty close to the end of the season, is what I’m saying, and given that we’re through with the trade deadline (non-waiver, of course) most teams are fairly close to having geared up as best they can. So it seems like a good time to look at how the rest of this season could play out; which teams could get hot, which teams could fade, and which teams could, however improbably, disband after what could only be called a wild scandal involving copious amounts of cocaine and Mickey Tettleton. I figured the best way to do this was with power rankings of some sort, except that I don’t actually think power rankings are all that useful, so I ended up adopting the old Simmons technique of grouping teams together based on how I expect them to play the rest of the way.