A Possible Two Seamer And Less Fouls For Kazmir

by RZ on July 9, 2009

A bad start for Scott Kazmir period, but looking at his location and break charts is so repetitive, I will just give you some pitch f/x stats and a break chart showing that possible two seam fastball he could be experimenting. I also have adjusted the Game Day pitch types to fix any errors. Pitch f/x didn’t chart three pitches which are missing data and pitch types.

Strike% Swinging Strike Foul% FB% SL% CH%
61.7 7.5 15 61.5 20.2 18.3

Not bad numbers, namely the fouls being down 5% than his season average. His pitch type usage is around his average for this season with the changeup splitting time with the slider. Still, location was really Kazmir’s problem with nine hits allowed mainly in the air. Having only four strikeouts from a strikeout pitcher will also inflate his hits allowed if he doesn’t command his pitches well.

Here is the break chart with that possible two-seamer in dark purple.


scott kazmir break 7-8.jpg

It has the same velocity as his average fastball with about 3-4 more inches of vertical drop. Not sure if this is the true two-seamer with a two seam grip since there is another cluster of pitches that could be a two-seamer. The fastball will varying in movement depending on how the pitcher released it. The pitches with more two-seam action will be released from the hand with more side spin than a normal four seam with straight back spin. The easiest way to find out is to ask him (yeah right) or see the grip itself on tv or in person (bullpen session?).

Regardless of his pitch types, a bad start for Kazmir who needs to get himself going with the offensive catching up to the pitching in this game. Not sure if it will be this easy in terms of consistent run support of Kazmir.

Last start before the break so time to rest up for Kaz and find his mental focus as the Rays will need him in the second half.

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